May 20, 2021
The official start of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is just days away. Forecasters are predicting another active season.
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season brought a record 30 named storms (14 of those were hurricanes), and although most hurricane season forecasters had predicted an above average season last year, most predictions centered around approximately 20 named storms.
Today, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released their official forecast for the upcoming hurricane season. They say there is a 90% chance of an above normal or near normal season, with only a 10% chance for a below average season. They are forecasting 13 to 20 named storms with maximum sustained winds of at least 39 mph, with 6 to 10 of those storms becoming hurricanes (maximum sustained winds of at least 74 mph), and of those, 3 to 5 major hurricanes (with winds of at least 111 mph). An average hurricane season, according to NOAA, produces 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
As with any hurricane season, it’s impossible to know where these storms will form and when or where they might make landfall.
Click on the tweet below to see the projections and the list of names for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season.
In April, Colorado State University also released its annual forecast, led by Philip Klotzbach. Their forecast also calls for an above average season with 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes.